Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.212651 1.371739 1.545989 1.751360 1.987233 2.250174 2.566207
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.979423 1.196036 1.454075 1.785639 2.202555 2.712253 3.386908
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.829962 1.065187 1.361209 1.764010 2.302304 3.003125 3.994850
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.738670 0.987234 1.314433 1.781279 2.437738 3.339042 4.689424
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.655070 0.905711 1.248355 1.757288 2.504750 3.579109 5.270885
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.591717 0.843037 1.198331 1.745367 2.580901 3.832853 5.896222
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.521375 0.762085 1.112296 1.668472 2.547334 3.912921 6.255748
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.488971 0.733113 1.098623 1.697378 2.676481 4.254888 7.076201
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.461908 0.709132 1.089278 1.730435 2.813369 4.621422 7.982838
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.433753 0.680512 1.069373 1.743134 2.915874 4.939031 8.842179
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.407885 0.653034 1.048350 1.750889 3.009022 5.248204 9.724120
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.389384 0.635855 1.042336 1.782930 3.146983 5.650901 10.836515
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.360082 0.598712 1.000442 1.749333 3.164920 5.839131 11.563934
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.346110 0.586721 1.000843 1.792151 3.330604 6.329349 12.986558
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.323365 0.557407 0.968011 1.769656 3.367021 6.567438 13.904505
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.308619 0.541103 0.957008 1.787059 3.483340 6.979816 15.267760
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.289472 0.515270 0.926308 1.762976 3.512093 7.211228 16.249932
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.273584 0.494264 0.902908 1.751013 3.564368 7.498433 17.407422
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.251008 0.459053 0.849777 1.673843 3.469063 7.447624 17.727275
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.242804 0.450741 0.848079 1.702853 3.608471 7.944725 19.510152
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.235582 0.443780 0.848421 1.736027 3.760495 8.489510 21.508793
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.226638 0.432759 0.839722 1.748771 3.866861 8.937899 23.323414
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.217789 0.421303 0.829244 1.756554 3.962245 9.370841 25.169616